Extending Milankovitch - Celestial Cycles and Magnetism

8/29/2017

Lunar Report - 08/29/2017

By: Gordon Rutherford

Date and time:29 August 2017 - 13:36MST
Moon distance to earth:251,783 miles
Age moon:7.8 days
Moon phase:Size of moon increases
Percentage visible:55%

TODAY - TUESDAY, AUGUST 29, 2017

The Moon today is in a First Quarter phase. This phase occurs roughly 7 days after the New Moon when the earth is one quarter of the way through it’s orbit around the earth. Exactly half the moon will be illuminated and half dark. On the day of the First Quarter phase the moon is high overhead at sunset and is visible until mid-night when it sets in the west. The First Quarter phase is a one day event and in the following days enters a Waxing Gibbous phase becoming more illuminated each day until the Full Moon.

Upcoming main Moon phases

Full Moon

(7 days on 6 September 2017 at 07:03)

Last Quarter

(14 days on 13 September 2017 at 06:25)

New Moon

(21 days on 20 September 2017 at 05:30)

First Quarter

(29 days on 28 September 2017 at 02:54)

Moon before apogee

10 days after point of perigee on 18 August 2017 at 13:14 in ♋ Cancer. The lunar orbit is getting wider, while the Moon is moving outward the Earth. It will keep this direction for the next day, until it get to the point of next apogee on 30 August 2017 at 11:25 in ♐ Sagittarius.

Moon before southern standstill

11 days after previous North standstill on 18 August 2017 at 06:50 in ♋ Cancer, when Moon has reached northern declination of ∠19.381°. Next 2 days the lunar orbit moves southward to face South declination of ∠-19.393° in the next southern standstill on 1 September 2017 at 02:03 in ♑ Capricorn.

Neap tide

There is low ocean tide today. Sun and Moon gravitational forces are not aligned, but meet at big angle, so their combined tidal force is weak.

Tropic of Cancer Tide Times

High 02:56am

(2.49m)

Low 09:21am

(0.54m)

High 03:45pm

(2.52m)

Low 09:54pm

(0.89m)

Lunar Cycle 8 - 2017

Lunar Declination

Solar Report - 08/29/2017

By: Gordon Rutherford

:Product: Forecast Discussion
:Issued: 2017 Aug 29 1230 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#

Solar Wind (24 hr Summary)
Solar wind parameters from the ACE spacecraft reflected a near background solar wind environment. The solar wind was estimated to be between 325-375 km/s on average. Total field strength was marginally elevated and ranged between 6 and 8 nT. Bz was generally southward through most of the day with a maximum deflection of -8 nT. Phi angle was mostly positive.

Forecast
The solar wind environment is likely to become enhanced late on day two (30 Aug) as a SSBC is anticipated ahead of a CIR. Solar wind speeds are expected to become elevated on day three (31 Aug) while under the influence of a polar-connected, positive polarity CH HSS and possible glancing blow from the 28 Aug CME.

Solar Activity (24 hr Summary)
Solar activity reached low levels. Region 2672 (N08W42, Hsx/alpha) continued to show signs of steady decay, losing its trailer spots. Region 2673 (S08E78, Hsx/alpha) was numbered and was stable during the period. Another Region near N08E82 is emerging around the East limb and produced most of the activity. Including the largest flare of the period, a C2 at 29/0300 UTC.

A CME was observed in SOHO/LASCO C2 coronagraph imagery off the west limb at approximately 28/1930 UTC. Forecaster analysis and WSA/Enlil modeling determined that a glancing blow is possible late on 1 Sept.

Forecast
Solar activity is expected to continue at very low levels with a slight
chance for M-flares (R1-R2, Minor-Moderate) over the next three days (29-31 Aug).

Energetic Particles (24 hr Summary)
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux was at normal to moderate levels. The greater than 10 MeV proton flux continued at background values.

Forecast
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux is expected to be at normal to moderate levels for the next two days (29-30 Aug), increasing to moderate to high levels by day three (31 Aug). The greater than 10 MeV proton flux is expected to remain at background levels.

Geospace (24 hr Summary)
The geomagnetic field was at quiet levels.

Forecast
The geomagnetic field is expected to be at mostly quiet to unsettled
levels on days one and two (29-30 Aug). Isolated active levels are
anticipated late on day two (30 Aug) in response to a SSBC and CIR. G1 (Minor) geomagnetic storm levels are likely by day three (31 Aug) as Earth interfaces with a polar-connected, positive polarity CH HSS and possible glancing blow from the 18 Aug CME.

8/28/2017

EMSC Earthquake Analysis - 08/29/2017

By: Gordon Rutherford

EMSC DATA downloaded
DATE 08/29/2017

TIME 23:41:35 UTC

Number of quakes >2.5m 63

Highest Magnitude Quake

Depth = 40

Magnitude = 5.4m

UTC Time = 22:08:34

BABUYAN ISL REGION, PHILIPPINES

Deepest Quake

Depth = 352

Magnitude = 4.7m

UTC Time = 10:40:56

NORTHWEST OF KURIL ISLANDS

Mag #
2.5 9
3 38
4 14
5 2
6 0
7 0
8 0
9 + 0

Depth KM #

Surface 0-5 13

37 6-15 19

16-25 5

Deep 26 - 50 11

26 51 - 99 5

100 - 199 7

200 - 299 2

300 - 499 1

500 + 0

EMSC Earthquake Local Times

Earthquake Local Times Summarized

Geographic Earthquake Distribution

Earthquake Local Times Summarized
- by Magnetic Region

NOAA Geomagnetic Earthquake Distribution

EMSC DATA DOWNLOADED (63 Quakes)

NASA JPL Data

- Lunar and Combinational Geometries

Geocentric View

- Lunar Geometries

Celestial Geometries - 08/29/2017

By: Gordon Rutherford

Lunar Geometries
Sun at E. Elong (1st Quarter)
Mercury at Lunar E. Elong
Uranus at Lunar 120 Degrees
Neptune at Lunar W. Elong

Combinational Geometries
- Sun, Mercury, and Mars at Geocentric Conjunction
- Earth Crossing Neptune path to the Sun
- Uranus and Jupiter in Geocentric Opposition

Rotating Solar Magnetic Field
- Earth/Moon in the Negative, heading to Neutral
- Mars in the Neutral, Heading to Positive
- Mercury (Dia-Magnetic) Neutral, heading to Positive