9/27/2017

EMSC Earthquake Analysis - September 27th, 2017


By: Gordon Rutherford


EMSC DATA downloaded
DATE 09/27/2017
TIME 23:30:16

Number of quakes >2.5m = 74

Highest Magnitude Quake
Depth =69
Magnitude = 5.3
UTC Time = 04:13:02
PAPUA, INDONESIA
Deepest Quake
Depth = 616km
Magnitude = 4.1m
UTC Time =16:08:08
FLORES SEA

Geographic Quake Distribution


Magnitudes #
2.5m                2
3m                  42
4m                  28
5m                  2
6m                  0
7m                  0
8m                  0
9 +                  0

               Depth KM #
Surface         0-5 km 20
38                6-15 km 11
                  16-25 km 7
Deep          26 - 50 km 14
36              51 - 99 km 8
                100 - 199 km 12
               200 - 299 km 0
               300 - 499 km 0
                       500 + 2




Epicenter Local Times Summarized
- Plotted to NASA JPL Data


NOAA Geomagnetic Polarity Distribution


              Epicenter Magnetic Polarity
        Totals Percentage
RED          43          58.11%
GREEN     16           21.62%
BLUE        15           20.27%




EMSC Data - Sept 27th, 2017

Kiruna Magnetometer Analysis - Sept 27th, 2017


By:  Gordon Rutherford

03:14:59 UTC
Thursday, September 28, 2017

 Kiruna Magnetometer
- Periods of Influence
1)  Saturn at Lunar Conjunction (Moon Median)
2)  Neptune at Median

WEBSITE:

https://www.irf.se//Observatory/?link=Magnetometers

Period 1


Period 2

NASA JPL Data

Combinational Geometries


Heliocentric View

Celestial Geometries - September 27th, 2017


By:  Gordon Rutherford


15:38:51 UTC
Wednesday, September 27, 2017
.
**** VOLCANO WATCH IN EFFECT ***
*** NEXT 48 HOURS ***
.
Lunar Geometries
Apogee (Furthest from Earth)
Lunar Southern Standstill
Mercury at Lunar E. Elong
Saturn at Lunar Conj
Uranus at Lunar 120 Degrees
.
Combinational Geometries
- Mercury and Sun at Geocentric Conjunction
- Jupiter and Uranus at Heiocentric Opposition
- Saturn and Uranus at Heliocentric Opposition
.
Solar Magnetic Field 
Mercury (Dia-Magnetic) in the Negative
Mars (Para-Magnetic) in the Positive
Earth/Moon (Para-Magnetic) in the Positive 
.
NOTE: Mercury, Mars, and Sun WILL ALL BE AT THE SAME MAGNETIC POLARITY AND AT CONJUNCTION
.
VENUS NOT PLAYING MAGNETIC LINE BACKER TODAY

MERCURY and Sun Conjoined (WATCHOUT) when Mercury enters the Negative Rotating Solar MAgnetic Wind, as this will then Summarize with the Earth facing Positive Solar Magnetic wind. SINCE Mercury is Dia-Magnetic, when Mercury enters the Negative stream, then it will resonate POSITIVELY which will increase the Magnetic effect of the Moon and Sun at Eastern Elongation together.

Neap tide
There is low ocean tide today. Sun and Moon gravitational forces are not aligned, but meet at big angle, so their combined tidal force is weak.
.
Moon in apogee
Moon is reaching point of apogee today at 06:49, this is 13 days after last perigee on 13 September 2017 at 16:04 in ♊ Gemini. Lunar orbit is starting to get closer, while the Moon is moving inward the Earth for 11 days ahead, until it will get to the point of next perigee on 9 October 2017 at 05:51 in ♊ Gemini.
.
Moon before southern standstill (TOMORROW)
12 days after previous North standstill on 14 September 2017 at 13:00 in ♋ Cancer, when Moon has reached northern declination of ∠19.438°. Next day the lunar orbit moves southward to face South declination of ∠-19.516° in the next southern standstill on 28 September 2017 at 10:06 in ♑ Capricorn.


NASA JPL Data 
- Weekly Lunar Geometries
NASA JPL Data 
- Daily Lunar Geometries


NASA JPL Data 
- Daily Combinational Geometries

9/23/2017

EMSC Earthquake Analysis - 09/23/2017


By:  Gordon Rutherford

EMSC DATA downloaded
DATE 09/23/2017
TIME 23:46:34 UTC

Number of quakes >2.5m 
(Last 24 Hours)
= 75

Highest Magnitude Quake
Depth = 17 km
Magnitude = 6.1m
UTC Time = 12:53:02
OAXACA, MEXICO
Deepest Quake
Depth = 580 km
Magnitude = 4.4m
UTC Time = 00:28:53
FIJI REGION




Magnitudes #
2.5m                1
3m                   24
4m                   45
5m                   4
6m                   1
7m                   0
8m                   0
9 +                   0

Depth KM    #
Surface        0-5 km       6
42               6-15 km      25
                 16-25 km      11
Deep      26 - 50 km      13
33           51 - 99 km      11
             100 - 199 km     7
             200 - 299 km     1
             300 - 499 km     0
             500 km +           1


Geographic Distribution


UTC Times Converted to Epicenter Local Times


Local Times Summarized
- Plotted under NASA JPL Data


Epicenter Magnetic Polarity
Totals Percentage
 RED 46 61.33%
GREEN 16 21.33%
BLUE 13 17.33%


Geomagnetic Distribution


Summarized Local Times 
- Plotted by Magnetic Disposition


EMSC Data Downloaded for the Reports
- Sorted by Epicenter Local Times


9/22/2017

Celestial Geometries - Sept 23rd, 2017


By:  Gordon Rutherford



Lunar Geometries
Uranus at Lunar 150 Degrees
Neptune at Lunar 120 Degrees

Combinational Geometries
- Mercury, Mars, and Venus at Geocentric Conjunction
- Jupiter and Uranus at Geocentric Opposition
- Neptune at Opposition to Merc, Mars, and Ven at Conjunction

Solar Rotating Magnetic Field
- Mercury (Dia-Magnetic) Approaching Positive
- Mars (Para-magnetic) Negative
- Earth/Moon (Para-margnetic) Negative


NASA JPL Data - Lunar Geometries

Rotating Solar Magnetic Field

Solar Wind Forecasted



9/03/2017

Celestial Geometries - 09/03/2017



By:  Gordon Rutherford

NASA JPL Data (FORECASTED)
- Lunar and Combinational Geometries

NASA JPL Data 
- Today's Data


Earth Passing the Solar North Pole

Lunar Geometries
Moon at 150 Degrees of the Sun

Venus at Lunar Opposition

Combinational Geometries
- Neptune at Geocentric Opposition to the Sun
  (Earth crossing Neptune's connect path)

Rotating Solar Magnetic Field
- Mercury (Dia-Magnetic) Negative-to-Neutral
- Mars Neutral-to-Positive
- Earth/Moon Neutral-to-Negative




Real-Time Solar Wind Data

Solar Wind - FORECASTED

Lunar Report - 09/03/2017


By:  Gordon Rutherford

Date and time:3 September 2017 - 10:37MST
Moon distance to earth:247,004 miles
Age moon:12.3 days
Moon phase:Size of moon increases
Percentage visible:93%


TODAY - SUNDAY, SEPTEMBER 3, 2017
The Moon today is in a Waxing Gibbous phase. This phase is when the moon is more than 50% illuminated but not yet a Full Moon. The phase lasts round 7 days with the moon becoming more illuminated each day until the Full Moon. During a Waxing Gibbous the moon will rise in the east in mid-afternoon and will be high in the eastern sky at sunset. The moon is then visible though most of the night sky setting a few hour before sunrise. The word Gibbous first appeared in the 14th century and has it’s roots in the Latin word "gibbosus" meaning humpbacked.




Upcoming main Moon phases
Full Moon in 2 days on 6 September 2017 at 07:03
Last Quarter in 9 days on 13 September 2017 at 06:25
New Moon 16 days on 20 September 2017 at 05:30
First Quarter in 24 days on 28 September 2017 at 02:54


Moon before descending node
13 days after its ascending node on 21 August 2017 at 10:34 in ♌ Leo, the Moon is following the northern part of its orbit for the next day, until it will cross the ecliptic from North to South in descending node on 4 September 2017 at 18:41 in ♒ Aquarius.

Moon after southern standstill
2 days after previous South standstill on 1 September 2017 at 02:03 in ♑ Capricorn, when Moon has reached southern declination of ∠-19.393°. Next 11 days the lunar orbit moves northward to face North declination of ∠19.438° in the next northern standstill on 14 September 2017 at 13:00 in ♋ Cancer.





Neap tide
There is low ocean tide today. Sun and Moon gravitational forces are not aligned, but meet at big angle, so their combined tidal force is weak.

Tropic of Cancer Tide Times
  • Low 01:31am
    (0.69m)
  • High 07:28am
    (2.70m)
  • Low 01:45pm
    (0.36m)
  • High 08:03pm
    (2.91m)



Harvest Moon (FULL MOON) - after 2 days
Next Full Moon is the Harvest Moon of September 2017 after 2 days on 6 September 2017 at 07:03.


Moon after apogee
4 days after point of apogee on 30 August 2017 at 11:25 in ♐ Sagittarius. The lunar orbit is getting closer, while the Moon is moving inward the Earth. It will keep this direction for the next 10 days, until it get to the point of next perigee on 13 September 2017 at 16:04 in ♊ Gemini.




Solar Report - 09/03/2017


By: Gordon Rutherford

:Product: Forecast Discussion
:Issued: 2017 Sep 03 1230 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#


Solar Wind (24 hr Summary)
Solar wind parameters indicated continued influence from a positive polarity CH HSS. Solar wind speeds began the period near 650 km/s and gradually declined to end the period near 500 km/s. Total field (Bt) ranged between 1 and 5 nT while the Bz component did not drop below -3 nT. Phi angle was positive.

Forecast
The solar wind environment is expected to remained enhanced for the next three days (03-05 Sep) due to ongoing, but slowly waning, CH HSS effects.





Solar Activity (24 hr Summary)
Solar activity was at low levels. The strongest event of the period was a C7 flare observed at 02/1541 UTC from around the W limb. Associated with the flare was a Type II radio burst (estimated speed 976 km/s) and a CME signature which is not expected to be Earth-directed. Region 2674 (N14E18, Fhc/beta-gamma) displayed minor growth in its intermediate spots and produced a single low level C-class flare during the period. The remaining numbered sunspots were absent of flare activity. There were no Earth-directed CMEs observed in available satellite imagery.

Forecast
Solar activity is expected to be at low levels with a slight chance for M-flares (R1-R2, Minor-Moderate) over the next three days (03-05 Sep).



Energetic Particles (24 hr Summary)
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux was at moderate to high levels with a maximum flux of 7,573 pfu observed at 02/1740 UTC. The greater than 10 MeV proton flux continued at background values.

Forecast
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux is expected to continue at moderate to high levels on days one through three (03-05 Sep). The greater than 10 MeV proton flux is expected to continue at background levels.



X-Ray Flux (Last 3 days)

Geospace (24 hr Summary)
The geomagnetic field was at quiet to unsettled levels due to continued CH HSS influence.

Forecast
The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels, with an isolated period of active conditions, on day one (03 Sep) as CH HSS influence continues. Quiet to unsettled levels are expected on days two and three (04-05 Sep) as influence from the CH HSS wanes.