M 6.4 - 38km SSE of Taron, Papua New Guinea

By:  Gordon Rutherford

M 6.4 - 38km SSE of Taron, Papua New Guinea

UTC Time =2017-07-13 03:36:09

Magnitude = 6.4m

Location = 4.788°S   153.159°E 

Depth = 47.0 km

Drivers:

Jupiter at 150 degrees from the Moon

Combinational Drivers:

- Mercury (Dia-Magnetic) in the Neg Rotating Solar Magnetic Field
- Neptune at Lunar Conjunction

Epicenter Skyview

Antipodal Locations

Antipodal Skyview

NASA JPL Data

Rotating Solar Magnetic Field

Lunar Report - July 13th, 2017

By:  Gordon Rutherford

Moon distance to earth:238,965 miles
Age moon:19 days
Moon phase:Size of moon decreases
Percentage visible:81%

TODAY - THURSDAY, JULY 13, 2017
The Moon today is in a Waning Gibbous Phase. This is the first phase after the Full Moon occurs. It lasts roughly 7 days with the Moon’s illumination growing smaller each day until the Moon becomes a Last Quarter Moon with a illumination of 50%. The average Moon rise for this phase is between 9am and Midnight depending on the age of the phase. The moon rises later and later each night setting after sunrise in the morning. During this phase the Moon can also be seen in the early morning daylight hours on the western horizon.

Upcoming main Moon phases
Last Quarter on 16 July 2017 at 19:26
New Moon  on 23 July 2017 at 09:46
First Quarter  on 30 July 2017 at 15:23
Full Moon  on 7 August 2017 at 18:11


Moderate tide
There is medium ocean tide today. Sun and Moon gravitational forces are not aligned, but meet at very acute angle, so their combined tidal force is moderate.

Tropic of Cancer Tide Times

• High 12:12am
  (2.59m)
• Low 06:26am
  (0.13m)
• High 12:27pm
  (2.43m)
• Low 06:40pm
  (0.04m)

LUNAR CYCLE 6

Celestial Geometries - July 13th, 2017

By:  Gordon Rutherford

Lunar Geometries
Moon at 120 Degrees of the Sun
Jupiter at Lunar 150 Degrees
Saturn at Lunar E. Elong
Neptune at Lunar Conj

Combinational Geometries
- Sun and Mars at Geocentric Conjunction
- Jupiter and Uranus at partial Geocentric Opposition
- Jupiter and Neptune at partial Geocentric Opposition

Rotating Solar Magnetic Field
- Earth/Moon in the Neutral to Negative
- Mars in the Positive 
- Mercury (Dia-Magnetic) Neutral to Positive

NASA JPL Data - COMPLETE

NASA JPL Data - FORECASTED

Solar Report - July 13th, 2017

By: Gordon Rutherford

:Product: Forecast Discussion
:Issued: 2017 Jul 13 1230 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#

Solar Wind (24 hr Summary)
Solar wind parameters reflected waning influence of a positive polarity CH HSS. Solar wind speed began near 510 km/s early and gradually decreased to speeds near 400 km/s. Total field strength values varied from 1 nT to 4 nT. The Bz component was variable, reaching a maximum southward deviation of -3 nT. The phi angle was in a mostly positive solar orientation throughout most of the period.

.Forecast...
Solar wind parameters are expected to gradually decrease on day one (13 Jul) as CH HSS influence subsides. An enhancement is anticipated on day two (14 Jul) and into day three (15 Jul) due to the arrival of a negative polarity CH HSS.

Solar Activity (24 hr Summary)
Solar activity was at very low levels this period as Region 2665 (S06W24, Ehi/beta) continued to show separation and decreased magnetic complexity. New Region 2666 (N13W13, Cro/beta remained inactive. A large CME was observed off the West limb, first visible in LASCO C2 imagery near 13/1300 UTC. Further analysis and WSA/Enlil modelling will be completed to determine if the event has an Earth-directed component.

.Forecast...
Solar activity is likely to be low with a slight chance for M-class (R1-R2/Minor-Moderate) flare activity over the next three days (13-15 Jul).

Energetic Particle (24 hr Summary)
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux reached moderate levels and the greater than 10 MeV proton flux was at background levels.

.Forecast...
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux is expected to be at moderate to high flux levels on days one through three (13-15 Jul) following the enhanced solar wind environment associated with CH HSS influence. The greater than 10 MeV proton flux is expected to persist at background levels throughout the forecast period.

Geospace (24 hr Summary)
The geomagnetic field was at quiet levels this period.

.Forecast...
The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet levels on day one (13 Jul) as CH influence continues to wane. Quiet to active conditions are expected on days two and three (14-15 Jul) due to the arrival of a negative polarity CH HSS.