4/29/2017

M 6.0 - TAIWAN REGION


By:  Gordon Rutherford

M 6.0 - TAIWAN REGION
Magnitude    ML 6.0
Region    TAIWAN REGION
Date time    2017-04-30 01:57:23.0 UTC
Location    21.33 N ; 121.69 E
Depth    109 km

DRIVERS:
Uranus at Eastern Lunar Elongation, at Median



EMSC EQ Analysis - 04/29/2017


By:  Gordon Rutherford


EMSC DATA downloaded    
====================
DATE    04/29/2017
TIME    15:45:59 UTC

Number of quakes >2.0m            123

Highest Magnitude Quake
 ----------------------------------      
Depth = 42   
Magnitude = 6.8   
UTC Time = 20:23:18   
MINDANAO, PHILIPPINES       
                           
Deepest Quake       
------------------- 
Depth = 227   
Magnitude = 4.1   
UTC Time = 02:32:15   
ANTOFAGASTA, CHILE       

Magnitudes    #
----------------------
2.5m                6
3m                   73
4m                   32
5m                   11
6m                   1
7m                   0
8m                   0
9 +                   0

Epicenter Magnetic Polarity
TotalsPercentage
RED4637.40%
GREEN6351.22%
BLUE1411.38%


Depth KM#
Surface0-515
856-1528
16-2542
Deep26 - 5023
3851 - 998
100 - 1995
200 - 2992
300 - 4990
500 +0












4/28/2017

USGS EQ Analysis - 04/28/2017


by:  Gordon Rutherford

USGS DATA downloaded   
====================
DATE    04/28/2017
TIME    23:32:13




Number of quakes >2.5m                38
Number of ALL QUAKES            204






Highest Magnitude Quake      
----------------------------------------------------
Depth = 26  
Magnitude = 6.8    
UTC Time = 20:23:17  
30km SW of Burias, Philippines      
                          

Deepest Quake    
------------------------------   
Depth = 222.17    
Magnitude = 4.3  
UTC Time = 22:00:00  
124km W of San Antonio de los Cobres, Argentina       



Epicenter Magnetic Polarity
Totals Percentage
RED 8 21.05%
GREEN 28 73.68%
BLUE 2 5.26%



Magnitudes    #
--------------------
2.5m                6
3m                   6
4m                   19
5m                   6
6m                   1
7m                   0
8m                   0
9 +                   0

 
Depth KM #
Surface 0-5 4
26 6-15 4
16-25 18
Deep 26 - 50 5
11 51 - 99 2
100 - 199 3
200 - 299 1
300 - 499 0
500 + 0

LUNAR GEOMETRIES
1) Mars at Lunar Conj
2) Jupiter at Lunar 120 Degrees
3) Neptune at Lunar E. Elong 
 
 
 
 





DATA USED FROM USGS DATA DOWNLOAD






Solar Report - 04/28/2017


by:  Gordon Rutherford
 

 
 
 
:Product: Forecast Discussion
:Issued: 2017 Apr 29 0030 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center # 

Solar Activity (24 hr Summary)
-------------------------------
Solar activity was very low with only an isolated B1 flare observed at 28/1712 UTC from Region 2653 (S09W20, Hsx/alpha). The rest of the spotted regions were stable and quiet. New Region 2654 (N10E52, Axx/alpha) was numbered today. A prominence eruption was observed at approximately 28/1530 UTC off the NW limb at North 35. We are currently waiting on coronagraph imagery to determine if there is an Earth-directed component to an associated CME. 
 
 
 
Forecast Solar activity is expected to be very low with a slight chance for C-class flare activity over the next three days (29 Apr-01 May).
 
 
Energetic Particle (24 hr Summary)
----------------------------------
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux reached very high levels with a peak flux of  56,297 pfu observed at 28/1645 UTC. The greater than 10 MeV proton flux was at background levels. Forecast The greater than 2 MeV electron flux is expected to fluctuate between high and very high levels on day one (29 Apr) with the possibility of returning to predominately high levels by days two and three (30 Apr-01 May). The greater than 10 MeV proton flux is expected to continue at background levels all three days.


Solar Wind (24 hr Summary)
--------------------------
Solar wind parameters were near nominal levels over the period with solar wind speeds in the 370-480 km/s range. Total field was steady near 5 nT with the Bz component between +/-5 nT. Phi angle was oriented in a negative (towards) sector.

NOTE: From 28/1727-1913 UTC, solar wind speed, temperature, and density registered incorrect readings.
 
 
 
 
Forecast Solar wind parameters are expected to be at nominal levels on day one and through the majority of day two (29-30 Apr). By late on day two, a solar sector boundary crossing (SSBC) into a positive (away) sector is expected followed by weak CH HSS influence from a positive polarity CHHSS. Enhanced solar wind parameters are expected to persist into day three (01 May).
 
 
 

Geospace (24 hr Summary)
----------------------------------
The geomagnetic field was quiet. Forecast The geomagnetic field is expected to be mostly quiet on day one (29 Apr). By late  on day two and continuing into day three (30 Apr-01 May), an SSBC followed by a possible weak positive polarity CH HSS is expected to cause quiet to unsettled
conditions with isolated active periods on 01 May.
 
 

Lunar Report - 04/28/2017


by: Gordon Rutherford

Moon distance to earth:
225,788 miles
Age moon:
2.9 days
Moon phase:
Size of moon increases
Percentage visible:
9%
 
 

TODAY - Friday, April 28, 2017

The Moon today is in a Waxing Crescent Phase. A Waxing Crescent is the first Phase after the New Moon and is a great time to see the features of the moon's surface. During this phase the Moon can be seen in the wester sky after the sun dips below the horizon at sunset. The moon is close to the sun in the sky and mostly dark except for the right edge of the moon which becomes brighter as the days get closer to the next phase which is a First Quarter with a 50% illumination.


Moon phase and lunation details

2 days after New Moon

Previous main lunar phase is the New Moon before 2 days on 26 April 2017 at 12:16.

Upcoming main Moon phases

  • First Quarter in Leo ♌ on 3 May 2017 at 02:47
  • Full Moon in Scorpio ♏ on 10 May 2017 at 21:43
  • Last Quarter in Pisces ♓ on 19 May 2017 at 00:33
  • New Moon in Taurus ♉ on 25 May 2017 at 19:44

 

 

Neap tide

There is low ocean tide today. Sun and Moon gravitational forces are not aligned, but meet at big angle, so their combined tidal force is weak.

Miami Tide Times
(Tropic of Cancer)
  • Low 05:02am
    (-0.27m)
  • High 11:01am
    (3.12m)
  • Low 05:20pm
    (-0.63m)
  • High 11:40pm
    (3.30m)




M 6.8 - 31km WSW of Balangonan, Philippines


by: Gordon Rutherford
2017-04-28 20:23:19 UTC  
Magnitude = 6.8m
Location = 5.477°N   125.084°E 
Depth =   41.7 km
 
DRIVERS:
Saturn at Lunar Opposition
- Saturn at Median 

Quake was at 20 hrs, and NASA JPL Data restarts my daily geometries at midnight 23:59.  See attached, tomorrows Lunar Geometries 






 

Celestial Geometries - 04/28/2017

NASA JPL Data - FORECASTED
by: Gordon Rutherford
UTC Time = 16:10:27 Friday, April 28, 2017

NASA JPL Data - TODAY

NOTE: All my geometries are calculated, using NASA JPL Data, and based on UTC Noon times.
LUNAR GEOMETRIES
---------------------------
1) Mars at Lunar Conj
2) Jupiter at Lunar 120 Degrees
3) Neptune at Lunar E. Elong 


COMBINATIONAL GEOMETRIES
-----------------------------------------
- Uranus in Conjunction w/ Mercury
- Uranus and Mercury at Geocentric Opposition
- Earth recently exited, Jupiter's connected path to the Sun

SOLAR MAGNETIC FIELD
---------------------------------
- Neutral heading Negative



4/25/2017

Celestial Geometries - April 25, 2017

Geocentric Lunar Geometries

Moon @ Perigee (Closest to Earth)
Earth just exited Jupiter's Gravitationally connected path to the Sun.


Mercury at Lunar Conj       
Jupiter at Lunar Opposition       
Saturn at Lunar 120 Degrees       
Uranus at Lunar Conj

NASA JPL Data