9/27/2017

Celestial Geometries - September 27th, 2017


By:  Gordon Rutherford


15:38:51 UTC
Wednesday, September 27, 2017
.
**** VOLCANO WATCH IN EFFECT ***
*** NEXT 48 HOURS ***
.
Lunar Geometries
Apogee (Furthest from Earth)
Lunar Southern Standstill
Mercury at Lunar E. Elong
Saturn at Lunar Conj
Uranus at Lunar 120 Degrees
.
Combinational Geometries
- Mercury and Sun at Geocentric Conjunction
- Jupiter and Uranus at Heiocentric Opposition
- Saturn and Uranus at Heliocentric Opposition
.
Solar Magnetic Field 
Mercury (Dia-Magnetic) in the Negative
Mars (Para-Magnetic) in the Positive
Earth/Moon (Para-Magnetic) in the Positive 
.
NOTE: Mercury, Mars, and Sun WILL ALL BE AT THE SAME MAGNETIC POLARITY AND AT CONJUNCTION
.
VENUS NOT PLAYING MAGNETIC LINE BACKER TODAY

MERCURY and Sun Conjoined (WATCHOUT) when Mercury enters the Negative Rotating Solar MAgnetic Wind, as this will then Summarize with the Earth facing Positive Solar Magnetic wind. SINCE Mercury is Dia-Magnetic, when Mercury enters the Negative stream, then it will resonate POSITIVELY which will increase the Magnetic effect of the Moon and Sun at Eastern Elongation together.

Neap tide
There is low ocean tide today. Sun and Moon gravitational forces are not aligned, but meet at big angle, so their combined tidal force is weak.
.
Moon in apogee
Moon is reaching point of apogee today at 06:49, this is 13 days after last perigee on 13 September 2017 at 16:04 in ♊ Gemini. Lunar orbit is starting to get closer, while the Moon is moving inward the Earth for 11 days ahead, until it will get to the point of next perigee on 9 October 2017 at 05:51 in ♊ Gemini.
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Moon before southern standstill (TOMORROW)
12 days after previous North standstill on 14 September 2017 at 13:00 in ♋ Cancer, when Moon has reached northern declination of ∠19.438°. Next day the lunar orbit moves southward to face South declination of ∠-19.516° in the next southern standstill on 28 September 2017 at 10:06 in ♑ Capricorn.


NASA JPL Data 
- Weekly Lunar Geometries
NASA JPL Data 
- Daily Lunar Geometries


NASA JPL Data 
- Daily Combinational Geometries

9/23/2017

EMSC Earthquake Analysis - 09/23/2017


By:  Gordon Rutherford

EMSC DATA downloaded
DATE 09/23/2017
TIME 23:46:34 UTC

Number of quakes >2.5m 
(Last 24 Hours)
= 75

Highest Magnitude Quake
Depth = 17 km
Magnitude = 6.1m
UTC Time = 12:53:02
OAXACA, MEXICO
Deepest Quake
Depth = 580 km
Magnitude = 4.4m
UTC Time = 00:28:53
FIJI REGION




Magnitudes #
2.5m                1
3m                   24
4m                   45
5m                   4
6m                   1
7m                   0
8m                   0
9 +                   0

Depth KM    #
Surface        0-5 km       6
42               6-15 km      25
                 16-25 km      11
Deep      26 - 50 km      13
33           51 - 99 km      11
             100 - 199 km     7
             200 - 299 km     1
             300 - 499 km     0
             500 km +           1


Geographic Distribution


UTC Times Converted to Epicenter Local Times


Local Times Summarized
- Plotted under NASA JPL Data


Epicenter Magnetic Polarity
Totals Percentage
 RED 46 61.33%
GREEN 16 21.33%
BLUE 13 17.33%


Geomagnetic Distribution


Summarized Local Times 
- Plotted by Magnetic Disposition


EMSC Data Downloaded for the Reports
- Sorted by Epicenter Local Times


9/22/2017

Celestial Geometries - Sept 23rd, 2017


By:  Gordon Rutherford



Lunar Geometries
Uranus at Lunar 150 Degrees
Neptune at Lunar 120 Degrees

Combinational Geometries
- Mercury, Mars, and Venus at Geocentric Conjunction
- Jupiter and Uranus at Geocentric Opposition
- Neptune at Opposition to Merc, Mars, and Ven at Conjunction

Solar Rotating Magnetic Field
- Mercury (Dia-Magnetic) Approaching Positive
- Mars (Para-magnetic) Negative
- Earth/Moon (Para-margnetic) Negative


NASA JPL Data - Lunar Geometries

Rotating Solar Magnetic Field

Solar Wind Forecasted



9/03/2017

Celestial Geometries - 09/03/2017



By:  Gordon Rutherford

NASA JPL Data (FORECASTED)
- Lunar and Combinational Geometries

NASA JPL Data 
- Today's Data


Earth Passing the Solar North Pole

Lunar Geometries
Moon at 150 Degrees of the Sun

Venus at Lunar Opposition

Combinational Geometries
- Neptune at Geocentric Opposition to the Sun
  (Earth crossing Neptune's connect path)

Rotating Solar Magnetic Field
- Mercury (Dia-Magnetic) Negative-to-Neutral
- Mars Neutral-to-Positive
- Earth/Moon Neutral-to-Negative




Real-Time Solar Wind Data

Solar Wind - FORECASTED

Lunar Report - 09/03/2017


By:  Gordon Rutherford

Date and time:3 September 2017 - 10:37MST
Moon distance to earth:247,004 miles
Age moon:12.3 days
Moon phase:Size of moon increases
Percentage visible:93%


TODAY - SUNDAY, SEPTEMBER 3, 2017
The Moon today is in a Waxing Gibbous phase. This phase is when the moon is more than 50% illuminated but not yet a Full Moon. The phase lasts round 7 days with the moon becoming more illuminated each day until the Full Moon. During a Waxing Gibbous the moon will rise in the east in mid-afternoon and will be high in the eastern sky at sunset. The moon is then visible though most of the night sky setting a few hour before sunrise. The word Gibbous first appeared in the 14th century and has it’s roots in the Latin word "gibbosus" meaning humpbacked.




Upcoming main Moon phases
Full Moon in 2 days on 6 September 2017 at 07:03
Last Quarter in 9 days on 13 September 2017 at 06:25
New Moon 16 days on 20 September 2017 at 05:30
First Quarter in 24 days on 28 September 2017 at 02:54


Moon before descending node
13 days after its ascending node on 21 August 2017 at 10:34 in ♌ Leo, the Moon is following the northern part of its orbit for the next day, until it will cross the ecliptic from North to South in descending node on 4 September 2017 at 18:41 in ♒ Aquarius.

Moon after southern standstill
2 days after previous South standstill on 1 September 2017 at 02:03 in ♑ Capricorn, when Moon has reached southern declination of ∠-19.393°. Next 11 days the lunar orbit moves northward to face North declination of ∠19.438° in the next northern standstill on 14 September 2017 at 13:00 in ♋ Cancer.





Neap tide
There is low ocean tide today. Sun and Moon gravitational forces are not aligned, but meet at big angle, so their combined tidal force is weak.

Tropic of Cancer Tide Times
  • Low 01:31am
    (0.69m)
  • High 07:28am
    (2.70m)
  • Low 01:45pm
    (0.36m)
  • High 08:03pm
    (2.91m)



Harvest Moon (FULL MOON) - after 2 days
Next Full Moon is the Harvest Moon of September 2017 after 2 days on 6 September 2017 at 07:03.


Moon after apogee
4 days after point of apogee on 30 August 2017 at 11:25 in ♐ Sagittarius. The lunar orbit is getting closer, while the Moon is moving inward the Earth. It will keep this direction for the next 10 days, until it get to the point of next perigee on 13 September 2017 at 16:04 in ♊ Gemini.




Solar Report - 09/03/2017


By: Gordon Rutherford

:Product: Forecast Discussion
:Issued: 2017 Sep 03 1230 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#


Solar Wind (24 hr Summary)
Solar wind parameters indicated continued influence from a positive polarity CH HSS. Solar wind speeds began the period near 650 km/s and gradually declined to end the period near 500 km/s. Total field (Bt) ranged between 1 and 5 nT while the Bz component did not drop below -3 nT. Phi angle was positive.

Forecast
The solar wind environment is expected to remained enhanced for the next three days (03-05 Sep) due to ongoing, but slowly waning, CH HSS effects.





Solar Activity (24 hr Summary)
Solar activity was at low levels. The strongest event of the period was a C7 flare observed at 02/1541 UTC from around the W limb. Associated with the flare was a Type II radio burst (estimated speed 976 km/s) and a CME signature which is not expected to be Earth-directed. Region 2674 (N14E18, Fhc/beta-gamma) displayed minor growth in its intermediate spots and produced a single low level C-class flare during the period. The remaining numbered sunspots were absent of flare activity. There were no Earth-directed CMEs observed in available satellite imagery.

Forecast
Solar activity is expected to be at low levels with a slight chance for M-flares (R1-R2, Minor-Moderate) over the next three days (03-05 Sep).



Energetic Particles (24 hr Summary)
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux was at moderate to high levels with a maximum flux of 7,573 pfu observed at 02/1740 UTC. The greater than 10 MeV proton flux continued at background values.

Forecast
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux is expected to continue at moderate to high levels on days one through three (03-05 Sep). The greater than 10 MeV proton flux is expected to continue at background levels.



X-Ray Flux (Last 3 days)

Geospace (24 hr Summary)
The geomagnetic field was at quiet to unsettled levels due to continued CH HSS influence.

Forecast
The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels, with an isolated period of active conditions, on day one (03 Sep) as CH HSS influence continues. Quiet to unsettled levels are expected on days two and three (04-05 Sep) as influence from the CH HSS wanes.


8/30/2017

Celestial Geometries - 09/30/2017


By: Gordon Rutherford

NASA JPL Data 
- Lunar and Combinational Geometries



Lunar Geometries
Moon @ Apogee (Furthest from Earth)
Saturn at Lunar Conj
Uranus at Lunar 120 Degrees

Combinational Geometries
- Jupiter and Uranus at Geocentric Opposition

Rotating Solar Magnetic Field
- Mercury (Dia-Magnetic) Neutral-Postive
- Mars Negative
- Earth/Moon Negative-Neutral


Geocentric View


Real-Time Solar Wind Data


Solar Wind - FORECASTED

8/29/2017

Lunar Report - 08/29/2017



By:  Gordon Rutherford

Date and time:29 August 2017 - 13:36MST
Moon distance to earth:251,783 miles
Age moon:7.8 days
Moon phase:Size of moon increases
Percentage visible:55%


TODAY - TUESDAY, AUGUST 29, 2017
The Moon today is in a First Quarter phase. This phase occurs roughly 7 days after the New Moon when the earth is one quarter of the way through it’s orbit around the earth. Exactly half the moon will be illuminated and half dark. On the day of the First Quarter phase the moon is high overhead at sunset and is visible until mid-night when it sets in the west. The First Quarter phase is a one day event and in the following days enters a Waxing Gibbous phase becoming more illuminated each day until the Full Moon.




Upcoming main Moon phases
Full Moon 
       (7 days on 6 September 2017 at 07:03)
Last Quarter  
       (14 days on 13 September 2017 at 06:25)
New Moon 
        (21 days on 20 September 2017 at 05:30)
First Quarter
        (29 days on 28 September 2017 at 02:54)


Moon before apogee
10 days after point of perigee on 18 August 2017 at 13:14 in ♋ Cancer. The lunar orbit is getting wider, while the Moon is moving outward the Earth. It will keep this direction for the next day, until it get to the point of next apogee on 30 August 2017 at 11:25 in ♐ Sagittarius.

Moon before southern standstill
11 days after previous North standstill on 18 August 2017 at 06:50 in ♋ Cancer, when Moon has reached northern declination of ∠19.381°. Next 2 days the lunar orbit moves southward to face South declination of ∠-19.393° in the next southern standstill on 1 September 2017 at 02:03 in ♑ Capricorn.


Neap tide
There is low ocean tide today. Sun and Moon gravitational forces are not aligned, but meet at big angle, so their combined tidal force is weak.

Tropic of Cancer Tide Times
High 02:56am
(2.49m)
Low 09:21am
(0.54m)
High 03:45pm
(2.52m)
Low 09:54pm
(0.89m)




Lunar Cycle 8 - 2017

Lunar Declination 

Solar Report - 08/29/2017


By:  Gordon Rutherford

:Product: Forecast Discussion
:Issued: 2017 Aug 29 1230 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#



Solar Wind (24 hr Summary)
Solar wind parameters from the ACE spacecraft reflected a near background solar wind environment. The solar wind was estimated to be between 325-375 km/s on average. Total field strength was marginally elevated and ranged between 6 and 8 nT. Bz was generally southward through most of the day with a maximum deflection of -8 nT. Phi angle was mostly positive.

Forecast
The solar wind environment is likely to become enhanced late on day two (30 Aug) as a SSBC is anticipated ahead of a CIR. Solar wind speeds are expected to become elevated on day three (31 Aug) while under the influence of a polar-connected, positive polarity CH HSS and possible glancing blow from the 28 Aug CME.




Solar Activity  (24 hr Summary)
Solar activity reached low levels. Region 2672 (N08W42, Hsx/alpha) continued to show signs of steady decay, losing its trailer spots. Region 2673 (S08E78, Hsx/alpha) was numbered and was stable during the period. Another Region near N08E82 is emerging around the East limb and produced most of the activity. Including the largest flare of the period, a C2 at 29/0300 UTC.

A CME was observed in SOHO/LASCO C2 coronagraph imagery off the west limb at approximately 28/1930 UTC. Forecaster analysis and WSA/Enlil modeling determined that a glancing blow is possible late on 1 Sept.

Forecast
Solar activity is expected to continue at very low levels with a slight
chance for M-flares (R1-R2, Minor-Moderate) over the next three days (29-31 Aug).



Energetic Particles (24 hr Summary)
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux was at normal to moderate levels. The greater than 10 MeV proton flux continued at background values.

Forecast
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux is expected to be at normal to moderate levels for the next two days (29-30 Aug), increasing to moderate to high levels by day three (31 Aug). The greater than 10 MeV proton flux is expected to remain at background levels.



Geospace  (24 hr Summary)
The geomagnetic field was at quiet levels.

Forecast
The geomagnetic field is expected to be at mostly quiet to unsettled
levels on days one and two (29-30 Aug). Isolated active levels are
anticipated late on day two (30 Aug) in response to a SSBC and CIR. G1 (Minor) geomagnetic storm levels are likely by day three (31 Aug) as Earth interfaces with a polar-connected, positive polarity CH HSS and possible glancing blow from the 18 Aug CME.