By: Gordon Rutherford
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:Product: Forecast Discussion
:Issued: 2022 Mar 06 0030 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
Solar Activity .24 hr Summary...
Solar activity reached low levels due to multiple low level C-class flaring from new Region 2962 (N26E55, Bxo/beta) as well as a filament eruption just to the SE of Region 2957 (S16W18, Dai/beta). Region 2958 (N17W15) reemerged this period as a Bxo/beta region. Slight growth was observed in Region 2960 (S20E45, Dki/beta) as well as the trailing spots of Region 2957. Other activity included three filament eruptions. The first was an approximate 10 degree DSF centered near S18W03 at 05/1519 UTC. The second was an approximate 5 degree DSF centered near N20W70 at 05/1643 UTC. Associated with this was a CME off the NW limb at 05/1724 UTC. The third was an approximate 5 degree DSF centered near S31E52 at 05/1722 UTC. We are currently waiting on further imagery for CME analysis.
.Forecast... Solar activity is expected to reach low levels with a chance for M-class (R1-R2/Minor-Moderate) radio blackouts on 06-08 Mar. Energetic Particles .24 hr Summary... The greater than 2 MeV electron flux was at normal to moderate levels and the greater than 10 MeV proton flux remained at background levels.
.Forecast... The greater than 2 MeV electron flux is expected to remain at normal to moderate levels, while the greater than 10 MeV proton flux is expected to remain at background levels on 06-08 Mar. Solar Wind .24 hr Summary... Solar wind parameters were indicative of negative CH HSS influence. Solar wind speed increased from approximately 400 km/s to near 565 km/s. Total field ranged from 5-12 nT while the Bz component was between +7/-11 nT. Phi angle was mostly negative.
.Forecast... Solar wind parameters are expected to continue to be enhanced through 08 Mar due to negative polarity CH HSS influence. Additional enhancements in total field are possible late on 06 to early on 07 Mar from the 02 Mar CME. Solar wind speed is expected to slowly diminish on 08 Mar.
Geospace .24 hr Summary... The geomagnetic field ranged from quiet to G1 (Minor) geomagnetic storm levels due to CH HSS effects.
.Forecast... The geomagnetic field is expected to be at unsettled to G1 (Minor) storm levels on 06 Mar and quiet to active levels on 07 Mar as HSS effects persist, possibly with additional influence from the 02 Mar CME. Conditions are expected to decrease to quiet to unsettled levels on 08 Mar as HSS effects slowly diminish.
SOLAR CYCLE MAGNETIC FIELD GEOMETRIES
Works Citedhttps://www.solarham.net/index.htmhttps://www.timeanddate.com/sun/usa/miamihttps://www.timeanddate.com/sun/paraguay/asuncionhttps://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/goes-x-ray-fluxhttps://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/goes-proton-fluxhttps://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/real-time-solar-windhttps://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/wsa-enlil-solar-wind-predictionhttps://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/goes-magnetometerhttps://sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov/https://www.lmsal.com/solarsoft/latest_events/
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