3/05/2022

EMSC Network Analysis 03/05/2022

          By:  Gordon Rutherford

Cellphone Users and some Tablets, to see the videos posted on this page, you have to choose "Desktop Site" in your browser settings, otherwise even the Image Previews of videos WILL NOT BE DISPLAYED.  NOTE:  the data shared here are screenshots of data analytical tools developed, by me, that MUST BE VIEWED as "Desktop Site" or you will not be able to zoom in and see the data.

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INTERACTIVE EARTHQUAKE MAP


EMSC Events >2.5m
- all times displayed are Longitudinal Timezones, unless specified as UTC

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Lunar Resonant Geometries - 03/05/2022

    By: Gordon Rutherford

 Northern and Southern Hemisphere

- Planetary Spatial Separation

Cellphone Users and some Tablets, to see the videos posted on this page, you have to choose "Desktop Site" in your browser settings, otherwise even the Image Previews of videos WILL NOT BE DISPLAYED.  NOTE:  the data shared here are screenshots of data analytical tools developed, by me, that MUST BE VIEWED as "Desktop Site" or you will not be able to zoom in and see the data.

Web Link to Video: 

https://youtu.be/6Ozfep2l30w
















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Solar Report - 03/05/2022

                By:  Gordon Rutherford

Cellphone Users and some Tablets, to see the videos posted on this page, you have to choose "Desktop Site" in your browser settings, otherwise even the Image Previews of videos WILL NOT BE DISPLAYED.  NOTE:  the data shared here are screenshots of data analytical tools developed, by me, that MUST BE VIEWED as "Desktop Site" or you will not be able to zoom in and see the data.

Weblink to Video:

https://youtu.be/-BgEahwvia4


:Product: Forecast Discussion
:Issued: 2022 Mar 06 0030 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
Solar Activity  .24 hr Summary...


Solar activity reached low levels due to multiple low level C-class
flaring from new Region 2962 (N26E55, Bxo/beta) as well as a filament
eruption just to the SE of Region 2957 (S16W18, Dai/beta). Region 2958
(N17W15) reemerged this period as a Bxo/beta region. Slight growth was
observed in Region 2960 (S20E45, Dki/beta) as well as the trailing spots
of Region 2957.

Other activity included three filament eruptions. The first was an
approximate 10 degree DSF centered near S18W03 at 05/1519 UTC. The
second was an approximate 5 degree DSF centered near N20W70 at 05/1643
UTC. Associated with this was a CME off the NW limb at 05/1724 UTC. The
third was an approximate 5 degree DSF centered near S31E52 at 05/1722
UTC. We are currently waiting on further imagery for CME analysis.




.Forecast...
Solar activity is expected to reach low levels with a chance for M-class
(R1-R2/Minor-Moderate) radio blackouts on 06-08 Mar.

Energetic Particles .24 hr Summary...
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux was at normal to moderate levels
and the greater than 10 MeV proton flux remained at background levels.



.Forecast...
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux is expected to remain at normal to
moderate levels, while the greater than 10 MeV proton flux is expected
to remain at background levels on 06-08 Mar.

Solar Wind .24 hr Summary...
Solar wind parameters were indicative of negative CH HSS influence.
Solar wind speed increased from approximately 400 km/s to near 565 km/s.
Total field ranged from 5-12 nT while the Bz component was between
+7/-11 nT. Phi angle was mostly negative.



.Forecast...
Solar wind parameters are expected to continue to be enhanced through 08
Mar due to negative polarity CH HSS influence. Additional enhancements
in total field are possible late on 06 to early on 07 Mar from the 02
Mar CME. Solar wind speed is expected to slowly diminish on 08 Mar.



Geospace .24 hr Summary...
The geomagnetic field ranged from quiet to G1 (Minor) geomagnetic storm
levels due to CH HSS effects.



.Forecast...
The geomagnetic field is expected to be at unsettled to G1 (Minor) storm
levels on 06 Mar and quiet to active levels on 07 Mar as HSS effects
persist, possibly with additional influence from the 02 Mar CME.
Conditions are expected to decrease to quiet to unsettled levels on 08
Mar as HSS effects slowly diminish.

SOLAR CYCLE MAGNETIC FIELD GEOMETRIES



Works Cited
https://www.solarham.net/index.htm
https://www.timeanddate.com/sun/usa/miami
https://www.timeanddate.com/sun/paraguay/asuncion
https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/goes-x-ray-flux
https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/goes-proton-flux
https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/real-time-solar-wind
https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/wsa-enlil-solar-wind-prediction
https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/goes-magnetometer
https://sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov/
https://www.lmsal.com/solarsoft/latest_events/

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2/26/2022

Lunar Resonant Geometries - 02/26/2022

    By: Gordon Rutherford









WORKS CITED:

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Solar Report - 02/26/2022

               By:  Gordon Rutherford

:Product: Forecast Discussion

:Issued: 2022 Feb 27 0030 UTC

# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center

#

Solar Activity.24 hr Summary...



Solar activity was at very low levels with a few B-class flares observed

on, or behind the E limb. The two spotted regions on the disk, Region

2954 (N17W06, Hsx/alpha) and Region 2955 (N14E04, Hsx/alpha) were both

stable with a single B-class flare observed from Region 2955. No

Earth-directed CMEs were observed in available coronagraph imagery.


.Forecast...

Solar activity is expected to remain at very low levels with a slight

chance for C-class activity through the period 27-29 Feb.



Energetic Particles.24 hr Summary...

The greater than 2 MeV electron flux reached high levels with a peak

flux of 1,216 pfu observed at 26/1755 UTC. The 10 MeV proton flux

remained at background levels.



.Forecast...

The greater than 2 MeV electron flux is expected to reach moderate to

high levels levels on 27-28 Feb and 01 Mar due to high speed winds from

a series of geoeffective coronal holes. The greater than 10 MeV proton

flux is expected to be at background levels on 27-28 Feb and 01 Mar.


Solar Wind.24 hr Summary...



Solar wind parameters, as measured by the DSCOVR spacecraft, reflected

mostly nominal conditions. Total magnetic field strength was at or below

4 nT while the Bz component was primarily oriented northward. Solar wind

speeds steadily declined through the period from ~430 km/s to ~350 km/s.

Phi angle was predominantly oriented in the positive sector.



.Forecast...

The solar wind environment is expected to range from near background

levels to slightly enhanced levels due to the influence from a series of

isolated, small, positive polarity CH HSSs.


Geospace.24 hr Summary...

The geomagnetic field was at quiet levels.



.Forecast...

Quiet to unsettled conditions are expected on 27 Feb, increasing to

unsettled to active levels on 28 Feb and 01 Mar, due to positive

polarity CH HSS influence.


SOLAR CYCLE MAGNETIC FIELD GEOMETRIES




Works Cited

https://www.solarham.net/index.htm
https://www.timeanddate.com/sun/usa/miami
https://www.timeanddate.com/sun/paraguay/asuncion
https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/goes-x-ray-flux
https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/goes-proton-flux
https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/real-time-solar-wind
https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/wsa-enlil-solar-wind-prediction
https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/goes-magnetometer
https://sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov/
https://www.lmsal.com/solarsoft/latest_events/
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