7/24/2021

Solar Report - 07/24/2021

              By:  Gordon Rutherford

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:Product: Forecast Discussion
:Issued: 2021 Jul 24 1230 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
Solar Activity


.24 hr Summary...
Solar activity was at low levels. Before decaying to plage, Region 2849
(S27, L=068) produced a C4 flare at 24/0033 UTC. Associated with the
event was a type II radio sweep (554 km/s) and a CME signature first
observed in SOHO/LASCO C2 imagery after 24/0036 UTC. Analysis of the
event is ongoing.

Region 2846 (N25E13, Cro/beta) developed some minor spots around the
leader spot. Region 2847 (S27E30, Hrx/alpha) was in decay. No other
Earth-directed CMEs were observed in available coronagraph imagery.



.Forecast...
Solar activity is expected to be very low with a chance for C-class
flares on 24-26 Jul.

Energetic Particle


.24 hr Summary...
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux was normal to moderate and the
greater than 10 MeV proton flux maintained background values.




.Forecast...
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux is expected to be normal to
moderate and the greater than 10 MeV proton flux is expected to continue
at background levels over 24-26 Jul.

Solar Wind


.24 hr Summary...
Solar wind parameters were at nominal levels. Solar wind speed averaged
below 400 km/s. Total magnetic field strength was between 2-6 nT and no
significant periods of southward Bz were observed. Phi angle was
predominantly oriented in the positive sector.




.Forecast...
Possible influence from the 20 Jul CME may cause enhancements in the
solar wind on 24 Jul, but weaken throughout the day as CME effects wane.
25 Jul is expected to see a return to nominal conditions.

Geospace


.24 hr Summary...
The geomagnetic field was quiet.



.Forecast...
Unsettled to active levels are likely on 24 Jul due to CME influences.
25-26 Jul is expected to see a return to mostly quiet levels.




Works Cited
https://www.solarham.net/index.htm
https://www.timeanddate.com/sun/usa/miami
https://www.timeanddate.com/sun/paraguay/asuncion
https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/goes-x-ray-flux
https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/goes-proton-flux
https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/real-time-solar-wind
https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/wsa-enlil-solar-wind-prediction
https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/goes-magnetometer
https://sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov/
https://www.lmsal.com/solarsoft/latest_events/

7/20/2021

EMSC Network Analysis 07/20/2021

                    By:  Gordon Rutherford

Cellphone Users and some Tablets, to see the videos posted on this page, you have to choose "Desktop Site" in your browser settings, otherwise even the Image Previews of videos WILL NOT BE DISPLAYED.  NOTE:  the data shared here are screenshots of data analytical tools developed, by me, that MUST BE VIEWED as "Desktop Site" or you will not be able to zoom in and see the data.

Weblink to Video:


EMSC Events >2.5m
- all times displayed are Longitudinal Timezones, unless specified as UTC


INTERACTIVE EARTHQUAKE MAP


7/19/2021

M 5.8 - 138 km SSW of Lorengau, Papua New Guinea

           By: Gordon Rutherford 

USGS EVENT - P.N.G.

Geomagnetic Location Polarity = RED2
Driver Polarity = Mars Positive (LOW), Neptune Negative, Uranus Neutral
Seismic Influencers = Mars @ Lunar Elongation, Neptune @ 120 degrees, Uranus @ Lunar Opposition
Combinational Drivers = 

Magnetic Disposition of Drivers
- Neptune Negative
- Mars Positive (LOW)
- Uranus Neutral

Magnitude Calculation
Neptune + Uranus + Mars

Region Swapping
- Mars and Neptune are at Magnetic Polarity Opposition, so the regions that Mars would influence, then swap with Neptune.

NOTE:
Due to Mars and Venus being at Geocentric Conjunction, Venus has a HIGHLY DENSE atmosphere, and this atmosphere has the ability to Magnetically Attenuate incoming Magnetic Fields.  While Venus is also a Para-magnetic Resonator, the atmosphere has a Dampening/attenuating effect, with Incoming magnetic fields of the Sun as well as other DRIVERS, WHEN CONSIDERING THE GEOCENTRIC PERSPECTIVE FROM EARTH.  In this case, Mars sits behind Venus, from Earths perspective.  So this then would dampen the Resonated field of Mars.











Works Cited:
https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/eventpage/us7000enfl/region-info
https://maps.ngdc.noaa.gov/viewers/historical_declination/
https://www.ngdc.noaa.gov/geomag/calculators/magcalc.shtml
https://ssd.jpl.nasa.gov/horizons.cgi
https://www.timeanddate.com/sun/usa/miami
https://www.timeanddate.com/moon/usa/miami
https://www.theplanetstoday.com/
https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/wsa-enlil-solar-wind-prediction
https://www.solarsystemscope.com/
https://engaging-data.com/antipodes-map

7/17/2021

M 6.1 - 130 km S of Punta de Burica, Panama

          By: Gordon Rutherford 

USGS EVENT - Panama

Geomagnetic Location Polarity = BLUE1
Driver Polarity = Neptune (Negative)
Seismic Influencers = Neptune at 150 degrees from the Moon and Sun at Lunar Elongation
Combinational Drivers = Mars (Negative) at 150 degrees from Neptune

Magnetic Disposition of Drivers
- Neptune Negative
- Mars Negative
- Sun Neutral (HIGH)

Magnitude Calculation
Sun + Neptune + Mars













Works Cited:
https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/eventpage/us7000emzy/region-info
https://maps.ngdc.noaa.gov/viewers/historical_declination/
https://www.ngdc.noaa.gov/geomag/calculators/magcalc.shtml
https://ssd.jpl.nasa.gov/horizons.cgi
https://www.timeanddate.com/sun/usa/miami
https://www.timeanddate.com/moon/usa/miami
https://www.theplanetstoday.com/
https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/wsa-enlil-solar-wind-prediction
https://www.solarsystemscope.com/
https://engaging-data.com/antipodes-map